Tennis · W50 Stara Zagora · 14/10, 08:30
Prediction: Alexa Karatancheva vs Alena Kovackova
Team pages: Alexa Karatancheva · Alena Kovackova
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexa Karatancheva
Alena Kovackova
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Alexa Karatancheva
4-6 (W-L)
Alena Kovackova
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexa Karatancheva 1446 · Alena Kovackova 1574
| Alexa Karatancheva | Alena Kovackova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 6% | 94% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alena Kovackova (rating 1446 vs 1574).
- Alena Kovackova is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alexa Karatancheva | Alena Kovackova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (4) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.3-10.3 | 11.7-9.2 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 55.7% | 56.9% |
| Break % | 43.2% | 54.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexa Karatancheva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Raya Markova W50 Stara Zagora |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/10 | Alexandra Sakellaridi W50 Stara Zagora |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/10 | Anna Ozerova W50 Burgas |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 15/09 | Ipek Oz W50 Pazardzhik |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Adriana Reami W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Siyun Xiao W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Ekaterina Perelygina W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Tena Lukas W75 Hechingen |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Salma Drugdova W75 Hechingen |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/06 | Madelief Hageman W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Alena Kovackova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W50 Burgas |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/10 | Sonja Zhenikhova W50 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/10 | Sarah Van Emst W50 Burgas |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 06/10 | Polona Hercog W50 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/09 | Alisa Oktiabreva W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Vittoria Paganetti W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/09 | Martina Colmegna W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Ilary Pistola W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Tilwith Di Girolami W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 02/09 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
0-2 | 6-10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexa Karatancheva vs Alena Kovackova?
Our model gives 82% to Alena Kovackova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.