Tennis · W50 Stara Zagora · 18/10, 09:00
Prediction: Carolina Alves vs Alena Kovackova
Team pages: Carolina Alves · Alena Kovackova
Prediction summary
Winner
Carolina Alves
Alena Kovackova
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Carolina Alves
7-3 (W-L)
Alena Kovackova
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Carolina Alves
0–2
Alena Kovackova
(2 last)
- 01 Jul0-2 9-13L
- 11 Feb0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carolina Alves 1526 · Alena Kovackova 1605
| Carolina Alves | Alena Kovackova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alena Kovackova (rating 1526 vs 1605).
- Head-to-head: Carolina Alves 0–2 Alena Kovackova (2).
Statistics
| Carolina Alves | Alena Kovackova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-8.7 | 11.9-7.6 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 62.7% | 64.3% |
| Break % | 60% | 53.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
H2H · Carolina Alves 0 – 2 Alena Kovackova (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Carolina Alves 0–2 Alena Kovackova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/26 W35 Amstelveen | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/02/25 W35 Antalya | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carolina Alves
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Valeriia Artemeva W50 Stara Zagora |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/10 | Gala Ivanovic W50 Stara Zagora |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Daniella Dimitrova W50 Stara Zagora |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 08/10 | Luisina Giovannini W50 Burgas |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Denislava Glushkova W50 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Suzan Lamens WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 08/09 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Antonia Rivera WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/08 | Lan Mi W35 Barueri |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca W35 Barueri |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Alena Kovackova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Angela Fita Boluda W50 Stara Zagora |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/10 | Sonja Zhenikhova W50 Stara Zagora |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 15/10 | Alexa Karatancheva W50 Stara Zagora |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/10 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W50 Burgas |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/10 | Sonja Zhenikhova W50 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/10 | Sarah Van Emst W50 Burgas |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 06/10 | Polona Hercog W50 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/09 | Alisa Oktiabreva W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Vittoria Paganetti W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/09 | Martina Colmegna W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carolina Alves vs Alena Kovackova?
Our model gives 71% to Alena Kovackova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.