Tennis · W35 Birmingham · 13/10, 14:00

Prediction: Marie Weckerle vs Alicia Dudeney

Team pages: Marie Weckerle · Alicia Dudeney

Prediction summary
Winner
25% 75%
Marie Weckerle Alicia Dudeney
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Marie Weckerle 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLLWLLWW
Alicia Dudeney 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWLWLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Marie Weckerle 1460 · Alicia Dudeney 1516
Marie WeckerleAlicia Dudeney
Our model42%58%
Market12%88%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alicia Dudeney (rating 1460 vs 1516).
  • Alicia Dudeney is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Marie Weckerle makes many double faults (5.8/match).
  • Note: Alicia Dudeney makes many double faults (7.4/match).

Statistics

Marie WeckerleAlicia Dudeney
Win %30%60%
Win % · Hard – 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.41.3-1.1
Games (G-P)8.8-9.512.1-10.8
Aces0.73
Double faults5.87.4
1st serve %59.7%71.3%
Break %57.2%42%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Marie Weckerle

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/10 Sophie Johnstone
W35 Birmingham
2-0 12-4 W
11/10 Aadya Iyer
W35 Birmingham
2-0 12-0 W
06/10 Nastasja Schunk
W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq
0-2 6-12 L
01/10 Isabella Maria Serban
W35 Reims
1-2 12-15 L
30/09 Amelie Brooks
W35 Reims
2-0 12-5 W
09/09 Alyssa Reguer
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 4-9 L
02/09 Selina Atay
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 11-14 L
04/08 Noemi Basiletti
W75 Koksijde
0-2 4-12 L
29/07 Despina Papamichail
W50 Knokke-Heist
1-2 11-12 L
22/07 Linea Bajraliu
W35 Gentofte
0-2 4-12 L

Alicia Dudeney

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/10 Ayla Aksu
WTA Samsun · Hard
1-2 12-15 L
06/10 Antonia Ruzic
WTA Samsun · Hard
2-1 15-13 W
02/10 Katie Swan
W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
01/10 Linda Klimovicova
W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard
2-1 15-11 W
30/09 Kira Pavlova
W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard
2-0 11-6 W
07/08 Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
W75 Ourense
0-1 5-7 L
06/08 Camilla Zanolini
W75 Ourense
2-0 12-3 W
05/08 Ekaterina Yashina
W75 Ourense
2-1 16-12 W
30/07 Amelia Rajecki
W50 Dublin
0-2 10-13 L
29/07 Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
W50 Dublin
2-1 16-15 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Marie Weckerle vs Alicia Dudeney?

Our model gives 75% to Alicia Dudeney, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.