Tennis · W35 Birmingham · 13/10, 14:00
Prediction: Lizette Cabrera vs Angella Okutoyi
Team pages: Lizette Cabrera · Angella Okutoyi
Prediction summary
Winner
Lizette Cabrera
Angella Okutoyi
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Lizette Cabrera
3-7 (W-L)
Angella Okutoyi
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lizette Cabrera 1416 · Angella Okutoyi 1508
| Lizette Cabrera | Angella Okutoyi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Angella Okutoyi (rating 1416 vs 1508).
- Angella Okutoyi is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Lizette Cabrera makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Lizette Cabrera | Angella Okutoyi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 14% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.8 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-14.1 | 11.2-9.7 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 57.4% | 62.7% |
| Break % | 53% | 56.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lizette Cabrera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Valeria Savinykh W35 Lagos |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 21/09 | Sinja Kraus WTA Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Victoria Bosio WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 08/09 | Julieta Pareja WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Anna Rogers WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Talia Gibson WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 05/08 | Fiona Crawley W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Kallista Liu W100 Landisville |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 29/07 | Sofia Costoulas WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Angella Okutoyi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Anna Petkovic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Franziska Sziedat W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 30/08 | Anastasija Cvetkovic W35 Verbier |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Valentina Ryser W35 Verbier |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 28/08 | Valentini Grammatikopoulou W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Noelia Manta W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Madhurima Sawant W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/08 | Valentini Grammatikopoulou W35 Verbier |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Ayline Esina Samardzic W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 7-0 | W |
| 18/08 | Laia Petretic W35 Verbier |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lizette Cabrera vs Angella Okutoyi?
Our model gives 51% to Lizette Cabrera, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.