Tennis · M15 Szabolcsveresmart · 13/10, 10:00

Prediction: Tanguy Genier vs Dean Thurner

Team pages: Tanguy Genier · Dean Thurner

Prediction summary
Winner
68% 32%
Tanguy Genier Dean Thurner
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Tanguy Genier 3-7 (W-L)
LWLWWLLLLL
Dean Thurner 4-6 (W-L)
WLLWLLWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tanguy Genier 1460 · Dean Thurner 1491
Tanguy GenierDean Thurner
Our model46%54%
Market87%13%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Dean Thurner makes many double faults (6.1/match).

Statistics

Tanguy GenierDean Thurner
Win %40%40%
Win % · Clay – 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1-1.40.9-1.3
Games (G-P)10.9-10.58.8-10.2
Aces4.21
Double faults2.36.1
1st serve %71.3%60.2%
Break %40.2%49.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tanguy Genier

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/10 Andrea Bacaloni
M15 Pontevedra
0-2 8-13 L
07/10 Karim Bennani
M15 Pontevedra
2-1 16-11 W
25/08 Pierre Antoine Tailleu
M15 Cap d'Agde
0-2 8-12 L
18/08 Jannik Maute
M25 Ueberlingen
0-2 6-12 L
09/08 Facundo Yunis
M25 Muttenz
1-2 12-12 L
08/07 Yanis Ghazouani Durand
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
1-2 16-19 L
06/07 Elie Elie Azoulay
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-0 12-0 W
02/07 Laurent Lokoli
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
30/06 Arthur Bonnaud
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
29/06 Timothe Barthes
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
2-1 11-9 W

Dean Thurner

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/10 Filip Martinovic
M15 Szabolcsveresmart · ~Clay
2-0 14-11 W
26/08 Maximilian Alessandro Erhardt
M15 Allershausen
0-2 6-13 L
17/08 Thanaphat Boosarawongse
M15 Lambermont
0-2 7-12 L
16/08 Clement Wauters
M15 Lambermont
2-0 12-4 W
11/08 Carlos Giraldi
M15 Trier
0-2 3-12 L
15/06 Batiste Guerra
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
14/06 Dany Robas
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
2-1 8-11 W
21/04 Henry Lieberman
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
1-2 7-10 L
03/03 Luca Parenti
M25 Trimbach · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
02/03 Ozan Avanoglu
M25 Trimbach · ~Clay
2-0 11-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tanguy Genier vs Dean Thurner?

Our model gives 68% to Tanguy Genier, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.