Tennis · M15 Szabolcsveresmart · 17/10, 10:00
Prediction: Lukas Pokorny vs Arvid Nordquist
Team pages: Lukas Pokorny · Arvid Nordquist
Prediction summary
Winner
Lukas Pokorny
Arvid Nordquist
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Lukas Pokorny
7-3 (W-L)
Arvid Nordquist
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lukas Pokorny 1545 · Arvid Nordquist 1596
| Lukas Pokorny | Arvid Nordquist | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arvid Nordquist (rating 1545 vs 1596).
Statistics
| Lukas Pokorny | Arvid Nordquist | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10.8 | 13.2-9.8 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 74.2% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 39.4% | 70% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lukas Pokorny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Alex Kobelt M15 Szabolcsveresmart · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/10 | Radu David Turcanu M25 Slobozia |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Valentin Vanta M25 Slobozia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Stepan Baum M25 Pardubice |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 26/09 | Dominik Recek M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Jonas Gundacker M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Marcel Zielinski M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 07/09 | Andrew Paulson Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 06/09 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Arvid Nordquist
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Jan Hrazdil M15 Szabolcsveresmart · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Noah Thurner M15 Szabolcsveresmart · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 27/09 | Digvijay Pratap Singh M15 Baku |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 26/09 | Dmitry Dolzhenkov M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Millen Hurrion M15 Baku |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/09 | James Connel M15 Baku |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/09 | Pavel Savelov M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/08 | Giulio Perego Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 14/08 | Amit Vales M15 Turku |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Markus Molder M15 Turku |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lukas Pokorny vs Arvid Nordquist?
Our model gives 54% to Lukas Pokorny, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.