Tennis · M15 Szabolcsveresmart · 13/10, 10:00
Prediction: Lukas Pokorny vs Alex Kobelt
Team pages: Lukas Pokorny · Alex Kobelt
Prediction summary
Winner
Lukas Pokorny
Alex Kobelt
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Lukas Pokorny
6-4 (W-L)
Alex Kobelt
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lukas Pokorny 1530 · Alex Kobelt 1525
| Lukas Pokorny | Alex Kobelt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Alex Kobelt dominates on serve: 9 aces and 42.1% break avg.
- Note: Alex Kobelt makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Lukas Pokorny | Alex Kobelt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-10.9 | 10.6-9 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 9 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 78.5% |
| Break % | 38.6% | 42.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lukas Pokorny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Radu David Turcanu M25 Slobozia |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Valentin Vanta M25 Slobozia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Stepan Baum M25 Pardubice |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 26/09 | Dominik Recek M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Jonas Gundacker M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Marcel Zielinski M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 07/09 | Andrew Paulson Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 06/09 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Ioannis Xilas M25 Ollersbach |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Alex Kobelt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Jiang Yi Qing M15 Szabolcsveresmart · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/10 | Romain Andres M15 Rodez |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 05/10 | Noah Malige M15 Rodez |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/09 | Lucas Renard M25 Falun |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 21/09 | Linus Andersson M25 Falun |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Maximus Muller M25 Falun |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/09 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Axel Garcian M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Louis Van Herck M25 Plaisir |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Romeo Nobili M25 Plaisir |
2-1 | 11-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lukas Pokorny vs Alex Kobelt?
Our model gives 68% to Lukas Pokorny, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.