Tennis · M15 Maringa · 14/10, 14:00
Prediction: Dante Pagani vs Joao Eduardo Schiessl
Team pages: Dante Pagani · Joao Eduardo Schiessl
Prediction summary
Winner
Dante Pagani
Joao Eduardo Schiessl
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Dante Pagani
1-9 (W-L)
Joao Eduardo Schiessl
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dante Pagani 1414 · Joao Eduardo Schiessl 1525
| Dante Pagani | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joao Eduardo Schiessl (rating 1414 vs 1525).
- Joao Eduardo Schiessl is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Dante Pagani | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 22% (9) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.8 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-12.3 | 10.1-9.7 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 56.3% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 32.7% | 39.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dante Pagani
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Herman Hoeyeraal M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/04 | Lucio Ratti M25 Lujan · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Valentin Garay M25 Lujan · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 25/03 | Rocco Valente M15 Punta Del Este · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 17/02 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Tigre · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/02 | Santiago De La Fuente Challenger Rosario · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 21/01 | Valentin Basel M25 Santiago |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/01 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/11 | Bautista Vilicich ITF M15 Olavarria · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Joao Eduardo Schiessl
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Alan Magadan Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/10 | Benjamin Torrealba Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 01/10 | Luis Guto Miguel Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/09 | Nicolas Zanellato M15 Curitiba |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Giovanni Branchetti M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/09 | Eduardo Lage M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/09 | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto M15 Porto Velho |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Luiz Felipe Silva M15 Porto Velho |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dante Pagani vs Joao Eduardo Schiessl?
Our model gives 68% to Joao Eduardo Schiessl, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.