Tennis · M15 Maringa · 14/10, 14:00
Prediction: Rafael Tosetto vs Ignacio Monzon
Team pages: Rafael Tosetto · Ignacio Monzon
Prediction summary
Winner
Rafael Tosetto
Ignacio Monzon
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Rafael Tosetto
5-5 (W-L)
Ignacio Monzon
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Rafael Tosetto
0–1
Ignacio Monzon
(1 last)
- 28 Jan0-2 6-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rafael Tosetto 1494 · Ignacio Monzon 1560
| Rafael Tosetto | Ignacio Monzon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ignacio Monzon (rating 1494 vs 1560).
- Head-to-head: Rafael Tosetto 0–1 Ignacio Monzon (1).
Statistics
| Rafael Tosetto | Ignacio Monzon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-11 | 13.1-10.1 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.4% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 39.9% | 45.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Rafael Tosetto 0 – 1 Ignacio Monzon (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rafael Tosetto 0–1 Ignacio Monzon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/01/24 Challenger Piracicaba | 0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rafael Tosetto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Jose Pereira Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 24/09 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro M15 Curitiba |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 23/09 | Jefferson Wendler Filho M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 17/09 | Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio M15 Belem |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Jefferson Wendler Filho M15 Belem |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 12/09 | Mateus Alves M15 Leme |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Joao Goncalves M15 Leme |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/09 | Pedro Rodrigues Longobardi M15 Leme |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/09 | Mateus Alves M15 Porto Velho |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Enzo Crevelaro M15 Porto Velho |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Ignacio Monzon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Jeremy Gschwendtner M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/09 | Vano Losaberidze M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/09 | Dmitry Bessonov M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 15/09 | Niels Peter Van Noord M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/09 | Dmitry Popko M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Corentin Denolly M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/09 | Egor Pleshivtsev M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Daniel Khazime M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 08/09 | Dmitrii Burtsev M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 01/09 | Jeremy Gschwendtner M15 Buzau |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rafael Tosetto vs Ignacio Monzon?
Our model gives 65% to Ignacio Monzon, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

