Tennis · M15 Maringa · 14/10, 14:00

Prediction: Rafael Tosetto vs Ignacio Monzon

Team pages: Rafael Tosetto · Ignacio Monzon

Prediction summary
Winner
35% 65%
Rafael Tosetto Ignacio Monzon
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Rafael Tosetto 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWLWLWLL
Ignacio Monzon 5-5 (W-L)
LLLWWLWLWW
Head-to-head
Rafael Tosetto 0–1 Ignacio Monzon (1 last)
  • 28 Jan0-2 6-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rafael Tosetto 1494 · Ignacio Monzon 1560
Rafael TosettoIgnacio Monzon
Our model41%59%
Market31%69%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ignacio Monzon (rating 1494 vs 1560).
  • Head-to-head: Rafael Tosetto 0–1 Ignacio Monzon (1).

Statistics

Rafael TosettoIgnacio Monzon
Win %50%70%
Win % · Clay 0% (1) 71% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.2-11.6-0.8
Games (G-P)11.2-1113.1-10.1
Aces4.40.8
Double faults2.22.2
1st serve %70.4%67.1%
Break %39.9%45.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.5

H2H · Rafael Tosetto 0 – 1 Ignacio Monzon (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rafael Tosetto 0–1 Ignacio Monzon

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DateSetsGamesRes.
28/01/24
Challenger Piracicaba
0-26-13L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rafael Tosetto

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/09 Jose Pereira
Challenger Curitiba · Clay
1-2 13-15 L
24/09 Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
M15 Curitiba
1-2 18-18 L
23/09 Jefferson Wendler Filho
M15 Curitiba
2-0 14-11 W
17/09 Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio
M15 Belem
0-2 10-13 L
16/09 Jefferson Wendler Filho
M15 Belem
2-0 11-7 W
12/09 Mateus Alves
M15 Leme
0-2 5-12 L
12/09 Joao Goncalves
M15 Leme
2-0 13-10 W
11/09 Pedro Rodrigues Longobardi
M15 Leme
2-0 12-4 W
05/09 Mateus Alves
M15 Porto Velho
0-2 4-12 L
04/09 Enzo Crevelaro
M15 Porto Velho
2-0 12-8 W

Ignacio Monzon

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/09 Jeremy Gschwendtner
M15 Telavi · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
23/09 Vano Losaberidze
M15 Telavi · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
18/09 Dmitry Bessonov
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
1-2 14-16 L
15/09 Niels Peter Van Noord
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
13/09 Dmitry Popko
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
12/09 Corentin Denolly
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
11/09 Egor Pleshivtsev
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
10/09 Daniel Khazime
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
2-1 14-14 W
08/09 Dmitrii Burtsev
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
2-1 18-16 W
01/09 Jeremy Gschwendtner
M15 Buzau
1-2 16-17 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rafael Tosetto vs Ignacio Monzon?

Our model gives 65% to Ignacio Monzon, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.