Tennis · M15 Maringa · 14/10, 14:00
Prediction: Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago vs Joao Goncalves
Team pages: Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago · Joao Goncalves
Prediction summary
Winner
Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago
Joao Goncalves
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago
5-5 (W-L)
Joao Goncalves
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago 1410 · Joao Goncalves 1479
| Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago | Joao Goncalves | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joao Goncalves (rating 1410 vs 1479).
Statistics
| Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago | Joao Goncalves | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.5-11.6 | 8.8-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 47.2% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 42.3% | 45.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Gabriel Schenekenberg M15 Belem |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Ryan Dickerson M15 Leme |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 01/09 | Enzo Crevelaro M15 Porto Velho |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Mar Del Plata |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Gonzalo Villanueva M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Mateo Del Pino M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Juan Estevez M25 Londrina |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Jackson Ross M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/07 | Benjamin Torrealba M15 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 8-17 | L |
| 29/07 | Gustavo Albieri M15 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Joao Goncalves
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Pedro Sakamoto Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Pedro Sakamoto M15 Curitiba |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Eric Von Marton Martins M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/09 | Nicolas Zanellato M15 Belem |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 16/09 | Ignacio Antonio Becerra Otarola M15 Belem |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/09 | Rafael Tosetto M15 Leme |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Ryan Dickerson M15 Leme |
2-1 | 9-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Joao Cunha Cunha M15 Leme |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Adhithya Ganesan M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago vs Joao Goncalves?
Our model gives 74% to Joao Goncalves, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.