Tennis · M15 Maringa · 14/10, 14:00
Prediction: Pedro Sakamoto vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Team pages: Pedro Sakamoto · Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Prediction summary
Winner
Pedro Sakamoto
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Pedro Sakamoto
7-3 (W-L)
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Pedro Sakamoto
2–0
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
(2 last)
- 20 Mar2-0 12-7W
- 05 Dec2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pedro Sakamoto 1573 · Joao Victor Couto Loureiro 1472
| Pedro Sakamoto | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pedro Sakamoto (rating 1573 vs 1472).
- Pedro Sakamoto is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Pedro Sakamoto 2–0 Joao Victor Couto Loureiro (2).
Statistics
| Pedro Sakamoto | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-8.6 | 12.8-12.2 |
| Aces | 3 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 76.5% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 51.3% | 54.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Pedro Sakamoto 2 – 0 Joao Victor Couto Loureiro (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pedro Sakamoto 2–0 Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/23 ITF M25 Mosquera | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/12/21 Challenger Florianopolis | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pedro Sakamoto
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/09 | Santiago De La Fuente Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 27/09 | Joao Goncalves Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Nicolas Zanellato M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/09 | Joao Goncalves M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/09 | Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/09 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M15 Belem |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 17/09 | Vitor Machado De Melo Cunha M15 Belem |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Mateus Alves M15 Curitiba |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Rafael Tosetto M15 Curitiba |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 22/09 | Victor Braga M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/09 | Deney Wassermann M15 Haren |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 03/09 | Gabrielius Guzauskas M15 Haren |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Elias Julian Werner M15 Haren |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 26/08 | Botond Kisantal M15 Pecs |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 20/08 | Kevin Edengren M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pedro Sakamoto vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro?
Our model gives 75% to Pedro Sakamoto, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.