Tennis · WTA Rovereto · 13/10, 10:00
Prediction: Noemi Basiletti vs Viktoria Hruncakova
Team pages: Noemi Basiletti · Viktoria Hruncakova
Prediction summary
Winner
Noemi Basiletti
Viktoria Hruncakova
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Noemi Basiletti
7-3 (W-L)
Viktoria Hruncakova
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Noemi Basiletti 1596 · Viktoria Hruncakova 1468
| Noemi Basiletti | Viktoria Hruncakova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Noemi Basiletti (rating 1596 vs 1468).
- Noemi Basiletti is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Viktoria Hruncakova makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Noemi Basiletti | Viktoria Hruncakova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-9.6 | 9.2-11.6 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 6.9 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 6.1 |
| 1st serve % | 57.3% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 62.2% | 30.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Noemi Basiletti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Mia Ristic WTA Tolentino · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 21/09 | Laura Samsonova WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/09 | Mona Barthel WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Ekaterine Gorgodze WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Julie Struplova WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Lola Radivojevic WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/08 | Barbora Palicova W75 Koksijde |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 08/08 | Loes Ebeling Koning W75 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Martha Matoula W75 Koksijde |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 05/08 | Jenny Lim W75 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Viktoria Hruncakova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Himeno Sakatsume WTA Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Aysegul Mert WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 30/09 | Anna Blinkova WTA Adana · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Anastasia Tikhonova WTA Adana · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Jaeda Daniel WTA Adana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/09 | Polina Iatcenko WTA Ankara · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 16/09 | Susan Bandecchi WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Erika Andreeva WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 26/08 | Susan Bandecchi US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Julia Riera US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Noemi Basiletti vs Viktoria Hruncakova?
Our model gives 59% to Noemi Basiletti, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.