Tennis · WTA Rovereto · 16/10, 19:30

Prediction: Bianca Andreescu vs Lucrezia Stefanini

Team pages: Bianca Andreescu · Lucrezia Stefanini

Prediction summary
Winner
53% 47%
Bianca Andreescu Lucrezia Stefanini
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Bianca Andreescu 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWLWWLWW
Lucrezia Stefanini 5-5 (W-L)
LLLWWWWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bianca Andreescu 1540 · Lucrezia Stefanini 1595
Bianca AndreescuLucrezia Stefanini
Our model42%58%
Market63%38%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucrezia Stefanini (rating 1540 vs 1595).

Statistics

Bianca AndreescuLucrezia Stefanini
Win %60%80%
Win % · Hard 60% (10) 80% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.91.8-0.7
Games (G-P)10.8-8.313.5-9.8
Aces3.30.1
Double faults3.21.6
1st serve %69.3%56.1%
Break %60.7%55.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bianca Andreescu

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/10 Antonia Ruzic
WTA Rovereto · Hard
2-1 17-16 W
13/10 Mia Ristic
WTA Rovereto · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
09/10 Anna Blinkova
WTA Samsun · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
08/10 Mariam Bolkvadze
WTA Samsun · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
06/10 Alana Smith
WTA Samsun · Hard
2-0 12-0 W
14/09 Cristina Bucsa
WTA Guadalajara · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
28/08 Tamara Zidansek
US Open Women · Hard
1-2 13-14 L
26/08 Veronika Podrez
US Open Women · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
25/08 Eva Vedder
US Open Women · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
13/08 Xiyu Wang
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 4-12 L

Lucrezia Stefanini

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/10 Harmony Tan
WTA Rovereto · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
13/10 Laura Mair
WTA Rovereto · Hard
2-1 16-13 W
11/10 Ayla Aksu
WTA Samsun · Hard
1-2 13-15 L
10/10 Anna Blinkova
WTA Samsun · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
09/10 Polina Iatcenko
WTA Samsun · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
07/10 Noma Noha Akugue
WTA Samsun · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
06/10 Carole Monnet
WTA Samsun · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
02/10 Leolia Jeanjean
WTA Adana · Hard
1-2 11-13 L
30/09 Cagla Buyukakcay
WTA Adana · Hard
2-1 18-13 W
28/09 Elena Ruxandra Bertea
WTA Adana · Hard
2-1 15-12 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bianca Andreescu vs Lucrezia Stefanini?

Our model gives 53% to Bianca Andreescu, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.