Tennis · WTA Rovereto · 13/10, 10:00
Prediction: Martyna Kubka vs Alina Charaeva
Team pages: Martyna Kubka · Alina Charaeva
Prediction summary
Winner
Martyna Kubka
Alina Charaeva
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Martyna Kubka
4-6 (W-L)
Alina Charaeva
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martyna Kubka 1486 · Alina Charaeva 1538
| Martyna Kubka | Alina Charaeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alina Charaeva (rating 1486 vs 1538).
- Note: Alina Charaeva makes many double faults (6.5/match).
Statistics
| Martyna Kubka | Alina Charaeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-11.1 | 13.4-12.6 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 3 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 6.5 |
| 1st serve % | 57.8% | 63.8% |
| Break % | 44% | 48.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martyna Kubka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Lois Boisson WTA Adana · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Ksenia Efremova WTA Adana · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 22/09 | Berfu Cengiz WTA Ankara · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Manon Leonard W75 Le Neubourg |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Carson Tanguilig W75 Le Neubourg |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 15/09 | Jana Otzipka W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/08 | Kristina Liutova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Marina Bassols Ribera US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Annika Penickova US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 05/08 | Mona Barthel WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Alina Charaeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 05/10 | Sonay Kartal WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Elena Rybakina WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 01/10 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Anna Bondar WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 22/09 | Sofia Kenin WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 18/09 | Anna Blinkova WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/09 | Elina Avanesyan WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Xiaodi You WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 25/08 | Susan Bandecchi US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martyna Kubka vs Alina Charaeva?
Our model gives 70% to Alina Charaeva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.