Tennis · WTA Rovereto · 13/10, 10:00
Prediction: Laura Mair vs Lucrezia Stefanini
Team pages: Laura Mair · Lucrezia Stefanini
Prediction summary
Winner
Laura Mair
Lucrezia Stefanini
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Laura Mair
5-5 (W-L)
Lucrezia Stefanini
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Laura Mair 1480 · Lucrezia Stefanini 1541
| Laura Mair | Lucrezia Stefanini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 8% | 92% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucrezia Stefanini (rating 1480 vs 1541).
Statistics
| Laura Mair | Lucrezia Stefanini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-9.8 | 11.9-10.4 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 56.8% | 54.2% |
| Break % | 49.3% | 54% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Laura Mair
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Jazmin Ortenzi W50 Burgas |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Patricia Georgiana Goina W15 Varna |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Elizara Yaneva W50 Plovdiv |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Eleonora Toneva W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/09 | Marianne Argyrokastriti W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 04/09 | Ana Giraldi Requena W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Aliesia Reva W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Marie Mettraux W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Sofia Shapatava W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/08 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar W50 Prague |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Lucrezia Stefanini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Ayla Aksu WTA Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 10/10 | Anna Blinkova WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/10 | Polina Iatcenko WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/10 | Carole Monnet WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/10 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Adana · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Cagla Buyukakcay WTA Adana · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 28/09 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea WTA Adana · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 15/09 | Nadia Podoroska WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Jasmine Paolini US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Laura Mair vs Lucrezia Stefanini?
Our model gives 77% to Lucrezia Stefanini, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.