Tennis · WTA Rovereto · 13/10, 10:00
Prediction: Emiliana Arango vs Gabriela Knutson
Team pages: Emiliana Arango · Gabriela Knutson
Prediction summary
Winner
Emiliana Arango
Gabriela Knutson
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Emiliana Arango
2-8 (W-L)
Gabriela Knutson
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emiliana Arango 1426 · Gabriela Knutson 1565
| Emiliana Arango | Gabriela Knutson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 69% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gabriela Knutson (rating 1426 vs 1565).
- Gabriela Knutson is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Emiliana Arango makes many double faults (4/match).
- Note: Gabriela Knutson makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Emiliana Arango | Gabriela Knutson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-10.9 | 11.2-10.5 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 4 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 60.4% | 62.1% |
| Break % | 48.3% | 44.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emiliana Arango
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Ayla Aksu WTA Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Anna Blinkova WTA Adana · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Peyton Stearns WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/09 | Maria Paulina Perez Garcia WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/08 | Xinyu Wang US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Panna Udvardy WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 16/08 | Iga Swiatek WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Venus Williams WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Nadia Podoroska WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Gabriela Knutson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Ayana Akli WTA Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 22/09 | Katherine Sebov WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Lisa Pigato WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Mia Pohankova WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 18/09 | Malaika Rapolu WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 17/09 | Anouk Koevermans WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/09 | Aoi Ito WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Eva Lys US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Ekaterine Gorgodze US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emiliana Arango vs Gabriela Knutson?
Our model gives 59% to Gabriela Knutson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.