Tennis · WTA Rovereto · 13/10, 10:00
Prediction: Mona Barthel vs Lucia Bronzetti
Team pages: Mona Barthel · Lucia Bronzetti
Prediction summary
Winner
Mona Barthel
Lucia Bronzetti
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Mona Barthel
7-3 (W-L)
Lucia Bronzetti
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mona Barthel
1–0
Lucia Bronzetti
(1 last)
- 20 Nov2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mona Barthel 1551 · Lucia Bronzetti 1480
| Mona Barthel | Lucia Bronzetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mona Barthel (rating 1551 vs 1480).
- Head-to-head: Mona Barthel 1–0 Lucia Bronzetti (1).
- Note: Mona Barthel makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Mona Barthel | Lucia Bronzetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-9 | 10-11.1 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 66.6% | 57.3% |
| Break % | 46.8% | 44.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Mona Barthel 1 – 0 Lucia Bronzetti (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mona Barthel 1–0 Lucia Bronzetti
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/11/25 ITF W75 Petange | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mona Barthel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Samira De Stefano WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 19/09 | Noemi Basiletti WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/09 | Mia Ristic WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Francesca Jones WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Radka Zelnickova WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Fiona Ferro WTA Montreux · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Francesca Jones US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Whitney Osuigwe US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/08 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Warsaw · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 05/08 | Martyna Kubka WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Lucia Bronzetti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Fiona Crawley WTA Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Lois Boisson WTA Adana · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela WTA Antalya · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 26/08 | Polina Iatcenko US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 01/08 | Laura Samsonova WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Sara Sorribes Tormo WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 30/07 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Miriana Tona WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/07 | Fiona Ferro WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Yasmine Kabbaj WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mona Barthel vs Lucia Bronzetti?
Our model gives 59% to Mona Barthel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.