Tennis · WTA Rovereto · 11/10, 14:00
Prediction: Kristina Novak vs Caroline Werner
Team pages: Kristina Novak · Caroline Werner
Prediction summary
Winner
Kristina Novak
Caroline Werner
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Kristina Novak
4-6 (W-L)
Caroline Werner
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kristina Novak 1478 · Caroline Werner 1493
| Kristina Novak | Caroline Werner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Kristina Novak makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Kristina Novak | Caroline Werner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-10.7 | 11.9-11.6 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 60.5% | 59.7% |
| Break % | 49.6% | 47.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kristina Novak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W35 Lagos |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 01/10 | Nahia Berecoechea W35 Baza |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Meritxell Teixido Garcia W35 Baza |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 28/09 | Olga Parres Azcoitia W35 Baza |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 27/09 | Helene Pellicano W35 Baza |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Weronika Falkowska WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 09/09 | Eleonora Alvisi W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/08 | Matilde Paoletti W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Lidia Encheva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 26/07 | Sara Cakarevic W100 Gran Canaria |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
Caroline Werner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Anna Blinkova WTA Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Elvin Egribel WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 05/10 | Weronika Falkowska WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 04/10 | Ekaterina Yashina WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 30/09 | Eva Vedder W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 22/09 | Valentina Steiner WTA Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Malaika Rapolu WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Hannah Klugman W50 Leiria |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 04/09 | Oceane Dodin W50 Leiria |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Elena Micic W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kristina Novak vs Caroline Werner?
Our model gives 69% to Caroline Werner, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.