Tennis · UTR Pro Norman · 13/10, 20:30

Prediction: Alejandro Melero Kretzer vs Louis Hull

Team pages: Alejandro Melero Kretzer · Louis Hull

Prediction summary
Winner
70% 30%
Alejandro Melero Kretzer Louis Hull
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Alejandro Melero Kretzer 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLWWLWLL
Louis Hull 3-7 (W-L)
WLLLLLWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alejandro Melero Kretzer 1525 · Louis Hull 1500
Alejandro Melero KretzerLouis Hull
Our model54%46%
Market83%17%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Alejandro Melero KretzerLouis Hull
Win %60%50%
Win % · Hard 0% (1) 50% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.2-11-1.3
Games (G-P)11.5-10.98.9-10.7
Aces2.73
Double faults3.82.9
1st serve %69.1%60.8%
Break %40.8%28.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alejandro Melero Kretzer

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/10 Johan Alexander Rodriguez
M15 Fayetteville
0-2 9-13 L
30/09 Alejandro Arcila
M15 Fayetteville
2-1 14-10 W
29/09 Isac Stroemberg
M15 Fayetteville
2-0 13-9 W
16/07 Nikita Belozertsev
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
15/07 Frazier Rengifo
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
14/07 Alessandro Bellifemine
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
10/07 Marko Milosavljevic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 12-14 L
09/07 Benoit Torcq
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 15-17 W
07/07 Rodrigo Varillas
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
22/10 Matthew Forbes
ITF M25 Norman · Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Louis Hull

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/06 Matthew Rankin
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
23/05 Tygen Goldammer
UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard
2-1 18-15 W
23/05 Nicolas Simkin
UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
22/05 Stepan Mruzek
UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
20/05 Vit Kalina
UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
19/05 Joaquin Benoit
UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
04/05 Conor Gannon
M25 Nottingham
0-2 10-13 L
03/05 Rupert George
M25 Nottingham Qual
2-1 9-9 W
27/04 Freddie Ridout
M25 Nottingham
0-2 4-12 L
26/04 Thomas Drayton
M25 Nottingham
2-1 12-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alejandro Melero Kretzer vs Louis Hull?

Our model gives 70% to Alejandro Melero Kretzer, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.