Tennis · UTR Pro San Diego · 10/10, 18:00

Prediction: Luc Wieland vs Jan Kobierski

Team pages: Luc Wieland · Jan Kobierski

Prediction summary
Winner
53% 47%
Luc Wieland Jan Kobierski
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Luc Wieland 6-4 (W-L)
LLLWWWLWWW
Jan Kobierski 4-6 (W-L)
LLWLLLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Luc Wieland 1506 · Jan Kobierski 1528
Luc WielandJan Kobierski
Our model47%53%
Market58%42%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Luc WielandJan Kobierski
Win %50%60%
Win % · Hard 67% (3) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.11.3-1.1
Games (G-P)11-9.912.2-11.6
Aces0.81.9
Double faults1.62.2
1st serve %66.3%66.4%
Break %44.7%45%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Luc Wieland

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/10 Neo Niedner
UTR Pro San Diego · Hard
1-2 12-14 L
08/10 Blake Anderson
UTR Pro San Diego · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
07/10 Nicolas Calixto
UTR Pro San Diego · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
25/08 Matteo Vavassori
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
20/08 Theodore Dean
M15 Mistelbach
1-2 14-15 L
19/08 Juan Ignacio Gallego
M15 Mistelbach
2-0 13-9 W
17/08 Kabeer Kapasi
M15 Mistelbach
2-0 12-6 W
09/08 Noah Karma
M25 Muttenz
1-2 11-12 L
01/07 Timofei Derepasko
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
30/06 Michael Minasyan
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 10-7 W

Jan Kobierski

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/10 Lambert Ruland
UTR Pro San Diego · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
08/10 Connor Robb-Wilcox
UTR Pro San Diego · Hard
2-1 17-15 W
07/10 William Kleege
UTR Pro San Diego · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
06/10 Manvydas Balciunas
UTR Pro San Diego · Hard
1-2 12-17 L
03/10 Jacob Brumm
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
03/10 Xavier Calvelo
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
02/10 Adam Chodur
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 15-10 W
01/10 Peter Jorniak
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
29/09 Luca Ostovany
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 16-13 W
20/09 Spencer Johnson
Challenger San Diego · Hard
0-2 9-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Luc Wieland vs Jan Kobierski?

Our model gives 53% to Luc Wieland, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.