Tennis · UTR Pro San Diego · 09/10, 20:30

Prediction: Luc Wieland vs Neo Niedner

Team pages: Luc Wieland · Neo Niedner

Prediction summary
Winner
35% 65%
Luc Wieland Neo Niedner
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Luc Wieland 5-5 (W-L)
LLLLWWWLWW
Neo Niedner 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLWLLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Luc Wieland 1508 · Neo Niedner 1552
Luc WielandNeo Niedner
Our model44%56%
Market28%72%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Neo Niedner (rating 1508 vs 1552).
  • Note: Neo Niedner makes many double faults (6.4/match).

Statistics

Luc WielandNeo Niedner
Win %50%70%
Win % · Hard 67% (3) 100% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.11.5-0.9
Games (G-P)10.1-9.712.4-10.2
Aces0.71.3
Double faults1.86.4
1st serve %66.3%69.5%
Break %41.5%44.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Luc Wieland

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/10 Blake Anderson
UTR Pro San Diego · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
07/10 Nicolas Calixto
UTR Pro San Diego · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
25/08 Matteo Vavassori
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
20/08 Theodore Dean
M15 Mistelbach
1-2 14-15 L
19/08 Juan Ignacio Gallego
M15 Mistelbach
2-0 13-9 W
17/08 Kabeer Kapasi
M15 Mistelbach
2-0 12-6 W
09/08 Noah Karma
M25 Muttenz
1-2 11-12 L
01/07 Timofei Derepasko
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
30/06 Michael Minasyan
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 10-7 W
14/03 Lucca Liu
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 3-12 L

Neo Niedner

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/10 Blake Anderson
UTR Pro San Diego · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
08/10 Nicolas Calixto
UTR Pro San Diego · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
05/10 Piotr Siekanowicz
UTR Pro San Diego · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
01/10 Alvin Nicholas Tudorica
M15 Fayetteville
0-2 9-13 L
30/09 Duje Markovina
M15 Fayetteville
2-1 13-13 W
29/09 Volodymyr Gurenko
M15 Fayetteville
2-0 12-8 W
06/08 Vincent Dullinger
M15 Frankfurt
0-2 7-13 L
04/08 Tom Zeuch
M15 Frankfurt
2-1 16-13 W
30/07 Tom Sickenberger
M25 Wetzlar
1-2 15-17 L
29/07 Kaspar Mathes
M25 Wetzlar
2-1 15-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Luc Wieland vs Neo Niedner?

Our model gives 65% to Neo Niedner, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.