Tennis · Challenger Palermo · 09/10, 16:30

Prediction: Yanaki Milev vs Carlos Sanchez Jover

Team pages: Yanaki Milev · Carlos Sanchez Jover

Prediction summary
Winner
45% 55%
Yanaki Milev Carlos Sanchez Jover
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Yanaki Milev 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWWLWLWW
Carlos Sanchez Jover 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLWLWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yanaki Milev 1581 · Carlos Sanchez Jover 1540
Yanaki MilevCarlos Sanchez Jover
Our model56%44%
Market35%65%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yanaki Milev (rating 1581 vs 1540).

Statistics

Yanaki MilevCarlos Sanchez Jover
Win %80%70%
Win % · Clay 80% (10) 63% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.91.5-1
Games (G-P)13.1-9.711.9-10.3
Aces2.51.8
Double faults31.7
1st serve %65.4%62.4%
Break %36.5%40.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yanaki Milev

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/10 Buvaysar Gadamauri
Challenger Palermo · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
06/10 Ivan Gakhov
Challenger Palermo · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
05/10 Daniel Siniakov
Challenger Palermo · Clay
2-1 17-14 W
04/10 Oscar Jose Gutierrez
Challenger Palermo · Clay
2-1 16-9 W
22/09 Tommaso Compagnucci
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
1-2 12-13 L
21/09 Luca Wiedenmann
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
20/09 Kirill Kivattsev
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-1 15-10 W
06/09 Georgii Kravchenko
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
05/09 Valerio Aboian
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-1 17-13 W
04/09 Juan Manuel La Serna
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-1 15-10 W

Carlos Sanchez Jover

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/10 Lorenzo Giustino
Challenger Palermo · Clay
2-1 14-11 W
06/10 Francesco Forti
Challenger Palermo · Clay
2-1 15-14 W
23/09 Max Alcala Gurri
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
22/09 Michael Geerts
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
13/09 Filip Pieczonka
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
08/09 Gonzalo Bueno
Challenger Seville · Clay
1-2 14-12 L
07/09 Pedro Vives Marcos
Challenger Seville · Clay
2-1 15-15 W
06/09 Sergi Fita Juan
Challenger Seville · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
23/08 Alexander Ritschard
M25 Santander
2-0 10-3 W
22/08 Alejandro Juan Mano
M25 Santander
2-1 13-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yanaki Milev vs Carlos Sanchez Jover?

Our model gives 55% to Carlos Sanchez Jover, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.