Tennis · Challenger Palermo · 09/10, 10:00

Prediction: Michele Ribecai vs Jonas Forejtek

Team pages: Michele Ribecai · Jonas Forejtek

Prediction summary
Winner
43% 57%
Michele Ribecai Jonas Forejtek
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Michele Ribecai 3-7 (W-L)
LWLLLWLLLW
Jonas Forejtek 8-2 (W-L)
WLWWWWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Michele Ribecai 1501 · Jonas Forejtek 1548
Michele RibecaiJonas Forejtek
Our model43%57%
Market42%58%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jonas Forejtek (rating 1501 vs 1548).

Statistics

Michele RibecaiJonas Forejtek
Win %50%60%
Win % · Clay 100% (2) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.31.5-1.1
Games (G-P)11.1-10.712.9-11.4
Aces1.43.1
Double faults2.41.3
1st serve %60.3%64.1%
Break %41.9%38.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Michele Ribecai

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/10 Zdenek Kolar
Challenger Palermo · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
06/10 Benito Sanchez Martinez
Challenger Palermo · Clay
2-1 18-12 W
20/09 Mathys Domenc
Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
16/09 Titouan Droguet
Challenger Rennes · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
08/09 Jay Friend
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
1-2 14-14 L
03/09 Jack Pinnington Jones
Challenger Manacor · Hard
0-2 1-12 L
02/09 Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Challenger Manacor · Hard
2-1 15-10 W
28/08 George Loffhagen
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
27/08 Johannus Monday
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
26/08 Anton Matusevich
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-1 18-13 W

Jonas Forejtek

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/10 Martin Krumich
Challenger Palermo · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
05/10 Sandro Kopp
Challenger Palermo · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
27/09 Max Alcala Gurri
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
26/09 Adrian Andreev
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-1 16-12 W
25/09 Felix Gill
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
24/09 Maxime Chazal
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-1 17-8 W
22/09 Sebastian Gima
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-1 16-13 W
14/09 Jay Clarke
Challenger Biella · Clay
1-2 13-15 L
08/09 Raul Brancaccio
Challenger Seville · Clay
1-2 9-14 L
07/09 Gerard Campana Lee
Challenger Seville · Clay
1-2 14-18 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Michele Ribecai vs Jonas Forejtek?

Our model gives 57% to Jonas Forejtek, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.