Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 09/10, 10:00
Prediction: Deborah Chiesa vs Lisa Zaar
Team pages: Deborah Chiesa · Lisa Zaar
Prediction summary
Winner
Deborah Chiesa
Lisa Zaar
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Deborah Chiesa
5-5 (W-L)
Lisa Zaar
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deborah Chiesa 1481 · Lisa Zaar 1549
| Deborah Chiesa | Lisa Zaar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lisa Zaar (rating 1481 vs 1549).
- Lisa Zaar is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Deborah Chiesa | Lisa Zaar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-12.4 | 13.1-11.2 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 59% |
| Break % | 48.8% | 54.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deborah Chiesa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Marta Lombardini W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 07/10 | Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/09 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 07/09 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric WTA Montreux · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 06/09 | Diana Martynov WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Jana Kovackova W50 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 12/08 | Anastasia Zolotareva W50 Hamburg |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 05/08 | Eva Bennemann W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Andreea Prisacariu WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Yasmine Kabbaj WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Lisa Zaar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Sara Cakarevic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 07/10 | Sofia Rocchetti W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Tolentino · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 21/09 | Enola Chiesa WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 20/09 | Arianna Ovarelli WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | Elena Korokozidi W50 Pazardzhik |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Nikol Nuneva W50 Pazardzhik |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/09 | Katerina Tsygourova WTA Montreux · Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 22/08 | Rada Zolotareva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 21/08 | Giorgia Pedone W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deborah Chiesa vs Lisa Zaar?
Our model gives 54% to Lisa Zaar, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.