Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 09/10, 10:00
Prediction: Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Maria Andrienko
Team pages: Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur · Maria Andrienko
Prediction summary
Winner
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Maria Andrienko
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
7-3 (W-L)
Maria Andrienko
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur 1580 · Maria Andrienko 1516
| Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | Maria Andrienko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur (rating 1580 vs 1516).
- Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | Maria Andrienko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 100% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-8.7 | 10.1-9.9 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 58.4% | 59.4% |
| Break % | 47.3% | 53.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Carla Giambelli W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/10 | Nellie Taraba Wallberg W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 24/09 | Marie Mettraux W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Carla Giambelli W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/09 | Clara Burel WTA Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 16/09 | Francesca Curmi WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 15/09 | Charo Esquiva Banuls WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/09 | Dalila Spiteri WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Neus Torner Sensano WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Maria Andrienko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Natalija Senic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Nicole Andrea Molaro W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/10 | Annemarie Lazar W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/09 | Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas W15 Varna |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Merel Hoedt W50 Plovdiv |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Valentini Grammatikopoulou W50 Pazardzhik |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Alja Senica W15 Pecs |
1-1 | 9-10 | L |
| 26/08 | Federica Sacco W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Carolina Dibenedetto W35 Trieste |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 23/08 | Lisa Claeys W15 Wanfercee-Baulet |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Maria Andrienko?
Our model gives 76% to Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.