Tennis · M15 Pontevedra · 09/10, 12:00
Prediction: Diogo Marques vs Sergio Callejon Hernando
Team pages: Diogo Marques · Sergio Callejon Hernando
Prediction summary
Winner
Diogo Marques
Sergio Callejon Hernando
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Diogo Marques
5-5 (W-L)
Sergio Callejon Hernando
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Diogo Marques
0–1
Sergio Callejon Hernando
(1 last)
- 22 Apr0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Diogo Marques 1480 · Sergio Callejon Hernando 1488
| Diogo Marques | Sergio Callejon Hernando | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Diogo Marques 0–1 Sergio Callejon Hernando (1).
Statistics
| Diogo Marques | Sergio Callejon Hernando | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.4 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-13 | 10.7-9.4 |
| Aces | 4 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 67% |
| Break % | 40.3% | 44.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Diogo Marques 0 – 1 Sergio Callejon Hernando (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Diogo Marques 0–1 Sergio Callejon Hernando
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/25 M15 Sanxenxo | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Diogo Marques
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Xavi Palomar M15 Pontevedra |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 07/10 | Oscar Weightman M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Pedro Anton Ruibal M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/09 | Finn Murgett M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/09 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Finn Murgett M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 03/06 | Toufik Sahtali M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 27/05 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 08/05 | Goncalo Marques M25 Loule · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 07/05 | Tomas Curras Abasolo M25 Loule · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
Sergio Callejon Hernando
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Adrien Burdet M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/10 | Noah Thurner M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/09 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 01/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Goncalo Marques M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Izan Almazan Valiente M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Luka Talan Lopatic M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 04/08 | Jaume Casas Blasi M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Diogo Marques vs Sergio Callejon Hernando?
Our model gives 68% to Sergio Callejon Hernando, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.