Tennis · M15 Pontevedra · 08/10, 10:00
Prediction: Julio Cesar Porras vs Daniil Sarksian
Team pages: Julio Cesar Porras · Daniil Sarksian
Prediction summary
Winner
Julio Cesar Porras
Daniil Sarksian
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Julio Cesar Porras
7-3 (W-L)
Daniil Sarksian
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Julio Cesar Porras 1554 · Daniil Sarksian 1476
| Julio Cesar Porras | Daniil Sarksian | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Julio Cesar Porras (rating 1554 vs 1476).
- Julio Cesar Porras is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Julio Cesar Porras | Daniil Sarksian | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 0.9-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-10.8 | 8.9-9.5 |
| Aces | 1 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 62.1% | 72.3% |
| Break % | 51.8% | 42.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Julio Cesar Porras
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Raphael Perot M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Clement Lemire M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/07 | Alexandre Reco M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Mathieu Scaglia M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 22/07 | Maxime Chazal M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 13-16 | W |
| 21/07 | Ntungamili Raguin M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/07 | Victor Barreira Bonzom M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/06 | Matei Florin Breazu M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Daniil Sarksian
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Arthur Laborde M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Noel Larwig M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Karol Malirz M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/08 | Rigele Te M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Mikalai Haliak M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 8-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Martin Borisiouk M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Xing Dao Chen M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Ye Cong Mo M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-1 | 7-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Julio Cesar Porras vs Daniil Sarksian?
Our model gives 64% to Julio Cesar Porras, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.