Tennis · WTA Suzhou · 09/10, 04:00
Prediction: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Elvina Kalieva
Team pages: Aliaksandra Sasnovich · Elvina Kalieva
Prediction summary
Winner
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Elvina Kalieva
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
8-2 (W-L)
Elvina Kalieva
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aliaksandra Sasnovich 1564 · Elvina Kalieva 1502
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Elvina Kalieva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aliaksandra Sasnovich (rating 1564 vs 1502).
Statistics
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Elvina Kalieva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-7.5 | 11.4-12.6 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 44% | 37.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/10 | Xinxin Yao WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Talia Gibson WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/09 | Junhan Zhang WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/09 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Vendula Valdmannova US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 26/08 | Dalma Galfi US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Elvina Kalieva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Tamara Korpatsch WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/10 | Yexin Ma WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/09 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Han Shi WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 28/09 | Ellen Perez WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/09 | Katie Volynets WTA Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Kayla Day WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Lanlana Tararudee US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 28/08 | Vendula Valdmannova US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 27/08 | Sofia Costoulas US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Elvina Kalieva?
Our model gives 67% to Aliaksandra Sasnovich, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.