Tennis · WTA Suzhou · 09/10, 04:00
Prediction: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Kyoka Okamura
Team pages: Zhuoxuan Bai · Kyoka Okamura
Prediction summary
Winner
Zhuoxuan Bai
Kyoka Okamura
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Zhuoxuan Bai
3-7 (W-L)
Kyoka Okamura
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Zhuoxuan Bai
1–0
Kyoka Okamura
(1 last)
- 22 Nov2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zhuoxuan Bai 1541 · Kyoka Okamura 1587
| Zhuoxuan Bai | Kyoka Okamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kyoka Okamura (rating 1541 vs 1587).
- Head-to-head: Zhuoxuan Bai 1–0 Kyoka Okamura (1).
Statistics
| Zhuoxuan Bai | Kyoka Okamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10.8 | 13.1-9.4 |
| Aces | 2 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.4% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 48% | 46.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Zhuoxuan Bai 1 – 0 Kyoka Okamura (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zhuoxuan Bai 1–0 Kyoka Okamura
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/23 W100 Takasaki | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zhuoxuan Bai
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Emerson Jones WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 06/10 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 30/09 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/09 | JiaYi Wang WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/09 | Mina Hodzic WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Sijia Wei W35 Shenyang |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 15/09 | Hong Yi Cody Wong W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/09 | Yufei Ren W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Joanna Garland W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Sofia Costoulas W75 Tianjin |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
Kyoka Okamura
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 06/10 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 05/10 | Sijia Wei WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/10 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/10 | Emerson Jones WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 29/09 | Ru Xi Wu WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/09 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Mei Yamaguchi WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/09 | Eva Marie Desvignes WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zhuoxuan Bai vs Kyoka Okamura?
Our model gives 59% to Zhuoxuan Bai, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.