Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 08/10, 12:30
Prediction: Deborah Chiesa vs Marta Lombardini
Team pages: Deborah Chiesa · Marta Lombardini
Prediction summary
Winner
Deborah Chiesa
Marta Lombardini
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Deborah Chiesa
5-5 (W-L)
Marta Lombardini
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deborah Chiesa 1456 · Marta Lombardini 1569
| Deborah Chiesa | Marta Lombardini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marta Lombardini (rating 1456 vs 1569).
- Marta Lombardini is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Deborah Chiesa | Marta Lombardini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 29% (7) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-12.1 | 12.1-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 61.6% | 62.7% |
| Break % | 50.1% | 44.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deborah Chiesa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/09 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 07/09 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric WTA Montreux · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 06/09 | Diana Martynov WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Jana Kovackova W50 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 12/08 | Anastasia Zolotareva W50 Hamburg |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 05/08 | Eva Bennemann W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Andreea Prisacariu WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Yasmine Kabbaj WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
Marta Lombardini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Anna Petkovic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales WTA Tolentino · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Aurora Zantedeschi WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/09 | Alisa Oktiabreva W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 19/09 | Ilary Pistola W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/09 | Viola Turini W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Valentina Steiner W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/09 | Enola Chiesa W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/09 | Eva Marie Voracek W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 12/09 | Angelica Raggi W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deborah Chiesa vs Marta Lombardini?
Our model gives 54% to Marta Lombardini, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.