Tennis · M15 Heraklion · 08/10, 10:30

Prediction: Giulio Perego vs Mathys Domenc

Team pages: Giulio Perego · Mathys Domenc

Prediction summary
Winner
46% 54%
Giulio Perego Mathys Domenc
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Giulio Perego 5-5 (W-L)
LLWLWLWWLW
Mathys Domenc 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWLLLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Giulio Perego 1480 · Mathys Domenc 1547
Giulio PeregoMathys Domenc
Our model40%60%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mathys Domenc (rating 1480 vs 1547).

Statistics

Giulio PeregoMathys Domenc
Win %40%60%
Win % · Hard 40% (5) 71% (7)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.31.4-0.9
Games (G-P)9.1-9.911.2-10.5
Aces1.64.1
Double faults1.12.2
1st serve %62.5%72.1%
Break %43.9%49.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Giulio Perego

LLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/10 Tyler Stice
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
24/09 Diogo Morais
M25 Setubal
0-2 8-13 L
22/09 Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
M25 Setubal
2-0 12-5 W
14/09 Vasco Leote Prata
M25 Sintra
1-2 6-11 L
03/09 Jake Fellows
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
02/09 Aradhya Kshitij
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
24/08 Fabrizio Andaloro
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
23/08 Arvid Nordquist
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-1 17-16 W
16/08 Filip Peliwo
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
05/08 George Loffhagen
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L

Mathys Domenc

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/10 Petros Tsitsipas
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 7-2 W
21/09 Daniel Jade
Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard
1-2 16-19 L
20/09 Michele Ribecai
Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
17/09 Leonardo Rossi
M25 Nevers
1-2 14-16 L
16/09 Kyle Overmyer
M25 Nevers
2-1 18-15 W
29/08 Daniel Jade
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 3-7 L
28/08 Robin Bertrand
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 14-11 W
27/08 Mahmoud Chetouane
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
25/08 Toby Martin
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
23/07 Adrian Andreev
M15 Segrate
0-2 3-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Giulio Perego vs Mathys Domenc?

Our model gives 54% to Mathys Domenc, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.