Tennis · W50 Heraklion · 08/10, 10:30
Prediction: Alisa Oktiabreva vs Lola Giza
Team pages: Alisa Oktiabreva · Lola Giza
Prediction summary
Winner
Alisa Oktiabreva
Lola Giza
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alisa Oktiabreva
9-1 (W-L)
Lola Giza
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alisa Oktiabreva 1652 · Lola Giza 1568
| Alisa Oktiabreva | Lola Giza | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alisa Oktiabreva (rating 1652 vs 1568).
- Alisa Oktiabreva is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Note: Lola Giza makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Alisa Oktiabreva | Lola Giza | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.2 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-6.5 | 12.2-8.2 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 62.5% |
| Break % | 58.1% | 51.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alisa Oktiabreva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Anastasija Cvetkovic W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Alena Kovackova W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/09 | Marie Mettraux W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 25/09 | Tena Lukas W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 24/09 | Daria Yesypchuk W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/09 | Sofia Shapatava W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/09 | Marta Lombardini W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 19/09 | Franziska Sziedat W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/09 | Matilde Paoletti W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Laura Boehner W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Lola Giza
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Laura Pigossi W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/10 | Eleni Chatziavraam W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/08 | Josy Daems W35 Erwitte |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 21/08 | Sohyun Park W35 Erwitte |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Tena Lukas W35 Erwitte |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/08 | Sonja Zhenikhova W35 Erwitte |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 17/08 | Francesca Parcelli W35 Erwitte |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Rasheeda McAdoo W50 Hamburg |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 11/08 | Momoko Kobori W50 Hamburg |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 06/08 | Aneta Laboutkova W75 Leipzig |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alisa Oktiabreva vs Lola Giza?
Our model gives 77% to Alisa Oktiabreva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.