Tennis · W50 Heraklion · 09/10, 09:00
Prediction: Francesca Curmi vs Alisa Oktiabreva
Team pages: Francesca Curmi · Alisa Oktiabreva
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesca Curmi
Alisa Oktiabreva
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Francesca Curmi
7-3 (W-L)
Alisa Oktiabreva
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Francesca Curmi
0–1
Alisa Oktiabreva
(1 last)
- 21 Apr0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesca Curmi 1501 · Alisa Oktiabreva 1656
| Francesca Curmi | Alisa Oktiabreva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 71% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alisa Oktiabreva (rating 1501 vs 1656).
- Alisa Oktiabreva is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Francesca Curmi 0–1 Alisa Oktiabreva (1).
Statistics
| Francesca Curmi | Alisa Oktiabreva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 100% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 2-0.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.2 | 12.8-6.7 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 61% | 63.8% |
| Break % | 54.4% | 57.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Francesca Curmi 0 – 1 Alisa Oktiabreva (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Francesca Curmi 0–1 Alisa Oktiabreva
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/26 WTA Oeiras | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesca Curmi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Miriam Bulgaru W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/10 | Maayan Laron W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/09 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur WTA Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 14/09 | Veronika Erjavec WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Montreux · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Berfu Cengiz W100 Gran Canaria |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 31/07 | Emma Lene W100 Gran Canaria |
1-1 | 11-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Carmen Gallardo Guevara W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Francisca Jorge W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/07 | Martina Trevisan W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Alisa Oktiabreva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Lola Giza W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/10 | Anastasija Cvetkovic W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Alena Kovackova W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/09 | Marie Mettraux W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 25/09 | Tena Lukas W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 24/09 | Daria Yesypchuk W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/09 | Sofia Shapatava W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/09 | Marta Lombardini W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 19/09 | Franziska Sziedat W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/09 | Matilde Paoletti W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesca Curmi vs Alisa Oktiabreva?
Our model gives 71% to Alisa Oktiabreva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.