Tennis · W50 Heraklion · 08/10, 10:30
Prediction: Francesca Curmi vs Miriam Bulgaru
Team pages: Francesca Curmi · Miriam Bulgaru
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesca Curmi
Miriam Bulgaru
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Francesca Curmi
6-4 (W-L)
Miriam Bulgaru
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Francesca Curmi
0–1
Miriam Bulgaru
(1 last)
- 14 Mar0-2 10-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesca Curmi 1508 · Miriam Bulgaru 1501
| Francesca Curmi | Miriam Bulgaru | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Francesca Curmi 0–1 Miriam Bulgaru (1).
Statistics
| Francesca Curmi | Miriam Bulgaru | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-10 | 9.7-11 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 1 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 59.2% | 58.9% |
| Break % | 53.9% | 43% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Francesca Curmi 0 – 1 Miriam Bulgaru (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Francesca Curmi 0–1 Miriam Bulgaru
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/24 ITF W35 Alaminos-Larnaca | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesca Curmi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Maayan Laron W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/09 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur WTA Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 14/09 | Veronika Erjavec WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Montreux · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Berfu Cengiz W100 Gran Canaria |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 31/07 | Emma Lene W100 Gran Canaria |
1-1 | 11-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Carmen Gallardo Guevara W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Francisca Jorge W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/07 | Martina Trevisan W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Katerina Tsygourova W75 Cordenons |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Miriam Bulgaru
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Josy Daems W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 23/09 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Plovdiv |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Mia Ristic WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Lina Gjorcheska WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 09/09 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela WTA Antalya · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 08/09 | Federica Urgesi WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 27/08 | Maria Golovina W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-10 | L |
| 26/08 | Alina Yuneva W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Samira De Stefano W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Natalija Senic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesca Curmi vs Miriam Bulgaru?
Our model gives 67% to Francesca Curmi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.