Tennis · W50 Heraklion · 08/10, 09:00
Prediction: Alice Tubello vs Vittoria Paganetti
Team pages: Alice Tubello · Vittoria Paganetti
Prediction summary
Winner
Alice Tubello
Vittoria Paganetti
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Alice Tubello
9-1 (W-L)
Vittoria Paganetti
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alice Tubello
1–0
Vittoria Paganetti
(1 last)
- 20 Mar2-0 9-0W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alice Tubello 1553 · Vittoria Paganetti 1550
| Alice Tubello | Vittoria Paganetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Alice Tubello 1–0 Vittoria Paganetti (1).
- Note: Vittoria Paganetti makes many double faults (7.7/match).
Statistics
| Alice Tubello | Vittoria Paganetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-9.5 | 11.6-9 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 7.7 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 63.8% |
| Break % | 36.4% | 52.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Alice Tubello 1 – 0 Vittoria Paganetti (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alice Tubello 1–0 Vittoria Paganetti
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/26 W35 San Gregorio | 2-0 | 9-0 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alice Tubello
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Helena Muzinic W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 24/09 | Julia Grabher WTA Tolentino · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 22/09 | Dalila Spiteri WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/09 | Samira De Stefano WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 16/09 | Dalma Galfi WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Vivian Wolff WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Barbora Palicova WTA Montreux · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 04/09 | Francesca Pace W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Sarah Iliev W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Vittoria Paganetti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Dunja Maric W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/09 | Alena Kovackova W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Camilla Gennaro W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/09 | Romane Longueville W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Oceane Babel W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 17/09 | Ilary Pistola W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 16/09 | Beatrice Stagno W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/08 | Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Arina Bulatova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Galena Krastenova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alice Tubello vs Vittoria Paganetti?
Our model gives 64% to Alice Tubello, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.