Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 08/10, 09:30
Prediction: Eva Bennemann vs Matilde Paoletti
Team pages: Eva Bennemann · Matilde Paoletti
Prediction summary
Winner
Eva Bennemann
Matilde Paoletti
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Eva Bennemann
4-6 (W-L)
Matilde Paoletti
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eva Bennemann 1531 · Matilde Paoletti 1542
| Eva Bennemann | Matilde Paoletti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Eva Bennemann | Matilde Paoletti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-10.1 | 12.4-11.6 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 57.3% | 56.7% |
| Break % | 50.4% | 55.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eva Bennemann
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Yasmin Ezzat W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Alicia Herrero Linana WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Cagla Buyukakcay WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/08 | Nastasja Schunk W50 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Alena Kovackova W50 Oldenzaal |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 20/08 | Tahlia Kokkinis W35 Erwitte |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Elza Tomase W35 Erwitte |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/08 | Loes Ebeling Koning W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Matilde Paoletti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Francesca Gandolfi W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/09 | Alisa Oktiabreva W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Daria Yesypchuk W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 16/09 | Maria Toma W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/09 | Marianne Argyrokastriti W35 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Diletta Cherubini W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/09 | Sophie Greiner W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 26/08 | Gabriela Ce W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Sophie Triquart W35 Trieste |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 15/08 | Mia Ristic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eva Bennemann vs Matilde Paoletti?
Our model gives 53% to Matilde Paoletti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.