Tennis · W35 Monastir · 08/10, 12:00
Prediction: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Anastasia Bertacchi
Team pages: Zuzanna Pawlikowska · Anastasia Bertacchi
Prediction summary
Winner
Zuzanna Pawlikowska
Anastasia Bertacchi
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Zuzanna Pawlikowska
8-2 (W-L)
Anastasia Bertacchi
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zuzanna Pawlikowska 1559 · Anastasia Bertacchi 1459
| Zuzanna Pawlikowska | Anastasia Bertacchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zuzanna Pawlikowska (rating 1559 vs 1459).
- Zuzanna Pawlikowska is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Anastasia Bertacchi makes many double faults (7.8/match).
Statistics
| Zuzanna Pawlikowska | Anastasia Bertacchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-8.8 | 9-12.8 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 7.8 |
| 1st serve % | 62.2% | 52.8% |
| Break % | 63.4% | 42.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zuzanna Pawlikowska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Oriana Gniewkowska W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/09 | Yuliya Hatouka W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/09 | Esther Adeshina W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 24/09 | Ksenia Smirnova W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 23/09 | Liana Dvalishvili W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/09 | Ekaterina Perelygina W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 18/09 | Ann Akasha Ceuca W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/09 | Kateryna Diatlova W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/09 | Alexandra Cheishvili W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Daria Kuczer W75 Bytom |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Anastasia Bertacchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Barakat Oyinlomo Quadre W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/09 | Marta Soriano Santiago W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Ellie Daniels W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 22/09 | Klara Blazkova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Tiphanie Lemaitre W35 Verbier |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Mara Guth W35 Verbier |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Ksenia Zaytseva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 04/08 | Ustiniya Lekomtseva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 18/07 | Raluca Georgiana Serban WTA Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Emma Lene W35 Torino |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Anastasia Bertacchi?
Our model gives 74% to Zuzanna Pawlikowska, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.