Tennis · M15 Heraklion · 08/10, 10:30
Prediction: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Nikita Belozertsev
Team pages: Pavlos Tsitsipas · Nikita Belozertsev
Prediction summary
Winner
Pavlos Tsitsipas
Nikita Belozertsev
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Pavlos Tsitsipas
3-7 (W-L)
Nikita Belozertsev
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pavlos Tsitsipas 1482 · Nikita Belozertsev 1506
| Pavlos Tsitsipas | Nikita Belozertsev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Pavlos Tsitsipas makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Pavlos Tsitsipas | Nikita Belozertsev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-13.9 | 8.6-7.8 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 72.3% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 40.8% | 33% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pavlos Tsitsipas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Nicholas Campbell M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 21/09 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 13/09 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 08/09 | Niccolo Catini M25 Pozzuoli |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Giovanni Oradini M15 Vienna |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Jonas Gundacker M15 Vienna |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Matyas Kozlovsky M15 Vienna |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 20/08 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Dino Molokova Ferreira M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Nikita Belozertsev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Georgios Dimitriou M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/09 | Marko Topo M25 Zlatibor |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/09 | Marko Nikolic M25 Zlatibor |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Mate Valkusz M15 Budapest |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Branko Djuric M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Drazen Petrovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Cem Christopher Kucukhuseyin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/09 | Chris Spyrou M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 8-2 | W |
| 02/08 | Georgi Georgiev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Veljko Krstic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Nikita Belozertsev?
Our model gives 63% to Nikita Belozertsev, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.