Tennis · M15 Pontevedra · 08/10, 13:00
Prediction: Diogo Marques vs Xavi Palomar
Team pages: Diogo Marques · Xavi Palomar
Prediction summary
Winner
Diogo Marques
Xavi Palomar
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Diogo Marques
6-4 (W-L)
Xavi Palomar
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Diogo Marques 1482 · Xavi Palomar 1530
| Diogo Marques | Xavi Palomar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Xavi Palomar (rating 1482 vs 1530).
Statistics
| Diogo Marques | Xavi Palomar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-12.2 | 9.9-9 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 62.6% |
| Break % | 39.7% | 52.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Diogo Marques
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Oscar Weightman M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Pedro Anton Ruibal M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/09 | Finn Murgett M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/09 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Finn Murgett M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 03/06 | Toufik Sahtali M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 27/05 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 08/05 | Goncalo Marques M25 Loule · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 07/05 | Tomas Curras Abasolo M25 Loule · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 06/05 | Jose Freitas M25 Loule · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-3 | W |
Xavi Palomar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Stefan Seifert M15 Pontevedra |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 01/10 | Miguel Damas M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Diego Esteban Torres M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/09 | Jaume Casas Blasi M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/09 | Ivan Gakhov M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Noah Regas M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Anas Mazdrashki M25 Gijon |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Tristan McCormick M25 Gijon |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 08/09 | Vicente Alcaraz Galbis M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/09 | Alejandro Garcia M15 Madrid |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Diogo Marques vs Xavi Palomar?
Our model gives 52% to Diogo Marques, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.