Tennis · M15 Pontevedra · 08/10, 10:00
Prediction: Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas vs Alejandro Garcia
Team pages: Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas · Alejandro Garcia
Prediction summary
Winner
Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas
Alejandro Garcia
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas
1-9 (W-L)
Alejandro Garcia
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas 1424 · Alejandro Garcia 1530
| Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas | Alejandro Garcia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alejandro Garcia (rating 1424 vs 1530).
- Alejandro Garcia is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas | Alejandro Garcia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.7 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.5-11.4 | 10.9-9.5 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 51.1% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 35.5% | 50.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Mario Arce Fernandez M15 Pontevedra |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 05/10 | Luis Garcia Paez M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Sander Jong M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz M15 Madrid |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Carlos Lopez Montagud M25 Santander |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Mikel Martinez M25 Santander |
0-2 | 4-9 | L |
| 24/03 | Hugo Ruiz Rodriguez M25 Tarragona · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/02 | Miguel Semedo UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/02 | Benjamin Gusic Wan UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Alejandro Garcia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Tomas Curras Abasolo M15 Pontevedra |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 24/09 | Gerard Campana Lee M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/09 | Luis Garcia Paez M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Alexander Petrov M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Gijon |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Ivan Lopez Martos M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Pedro Rodenas M15 Madrid |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Xavi Palomar M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas vs Alejandro Garcia?
Our model gives 70% to Alejandro Garcia, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.