Tennis · Challenger Palermo · 08/10, 10:00
Prediction: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Francesco Passaro
Team pages: Carlo Alberto Caniato · Francesco Passaro
Prediction summary
Winner
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Francesco Passaro
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Carlo Alberto Caniato
9-1 (W-L)
Francesco Passaro
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Carlo Alberto Caniato
0–1
Francesco Passaro
(1 last)
- 11 Aug1-2 14-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carlo Alberto Caniato 1606 · Francesco Passaro 1521
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | Francesco Passaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carlo Alberto Caniato (rating 1606 vs 1521).
- Carlo Alberto Caniato is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Carlo Alberto Caniato 0–1 Francesco Passaro (1).
Statistics
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | Francesco Passaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 90% (10) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.4 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-8.4 | 12.1-11.2 |
| Aces | 6.3 | 4 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 75.7% | 73.2% |
| Break % | 38.3% | 42.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
H2H · Carlo Alberto Caniato 0 – 1 Francesco Passaro (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Carlo Alberto Caniato 0–1 Francesco Passaro
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/26 Challenger Todi | 1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carlo Alberto Caniato
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Max Wiskandt Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Francesco Forti Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 22/09 | Lorenzo Berto Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 17/09 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Francesco Passaro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Alejandro Juan Mano Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Lorenzo Sonego Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Jesper De Jong US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 19-24 | L |
| 28/08 | Shintaro Mochizuki US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Tom Gentzsch US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/08 | Felix Gill US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/08 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Francesco Passaro?
Our model gives 55% to Carlo Alberto Caniato, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.