Tennis · ATP Shanghai MD · 10/10, 06:00
Prediction: Pavlasek/Rikl vs Arevalo/Pavic
Team pages: Pavlasek/Rikl · Arevalo/Pavic
Prediction summary
Winner
Pavlasek/Rikl
Arevalo/Pavic
Estimated games
24.2
Recent form · 10 last
Pavlasek/Rikl
6-4 (W-L)
Arevalo/Pavic
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Pavlasek/Rikl
0–1
Arevalo/Pavic
(1 last)
- 09 Aug0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pavlasek/Rikl 1496 · Arevalo/Pavic 1561
| Pavlasek/Rikl | Arevalo/Pavic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arevalo/Pavic (rating 1496 vs 1561).
- Head-to-head: Pavlasek/Rikl 0–1 Arevalo/Pavic (1).
Statistics
| Pavlasek/Rikl | Arevalo/Pavic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.7-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-11.3 | 15.5-14.7 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 5 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 74.6% | 78.6% |
| Break % | 23.2% | 27.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.2
H2H · Pavlasek/Rikl 0 – 1 Arevalo/Pavic (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pavlasek/Rikl 0–1 Arevalo/Pavic
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/26 ATP Montreal MD | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pavlasek/Rikl
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Harrison/Krajicek Davis Cup |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 06/09 | Cash/Glasspool US Open MD · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Golubev/Nedovyesov US Open MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/08 | Bolelli/Vavassori ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Bhambri/Venus ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/08 | Arevalo/Pavic ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/08 | Hanfmann/Struff ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Miedler/Polmans ATP Kitzbuhel MD · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Stevenson/Willis ATP Umag MD · Clay |
2-1 | 20-15 | W |
| 16/07 | Burruchaga/Kestelboim ATP Umag MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Arevalo/Pavic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Krawietz/Puetz US Open MD · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 08/09 | Miedler/Polmans US Open MD · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 07/09 | Kiger/Kovacevic US Open MD · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 05/09 | Johnson/Zielinski US Open MD · Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 20/08 | Arribage/Olivetti ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
1-2 | 14-20 | L |
| 17/08 | Khachanov/Rublev ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 13/08 | Luz/Matos ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
1-2 | 17-21 | L |
| 12/08 | Arribage/Olivetti ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/08 | Chan/Galarneau ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/08 | Pavlasek/Rikl ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pavlasek/Rikl vs Arevalo/Pavic?
Our model gives 66% to Arevalo/Pavic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.