Tennis · ATP Shanghai MD · 10/10, 06:00
Prediction: Bolelli/Vavassori vs Krajicek/Mektic
Team pages: Bolelli/Vavassori · Krajicek/Mektic
Prediction summary
Winner
Bolelli/Vavassori
Krajicek/Mektic
Estimated games
24.6
Recent form · 10 last
Bolelli/Vavassori
6-4 (W-L)
Krajicek/Mektic
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Bolelli/Vavassori
1–2
Krajicek/Mektic
(3 last)
- 05 Oct0-2 11-14L
- 09 Sept2-1 18-18W
- 06 Jul1-2 16-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bolelli/Vavassori 1559 · Krajicek/Mektic 1605
| Bolelli/Vavassori | Krajicek/Mektic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Krajicek/Mektic (rating 1559 vs 1605).
- Head-to-head: Bolelli/Vavassori 1–2 Krajicek/Mektic (3).
Statistics
| Bolelli/Vavassori | Krajicek/Mektic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.7-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-11.5 | 16.6-14.1 |
| Aces | 4 | 5 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 78% | 78.6% |
| Break % | 39.6% | 30.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.6
H2H · Bolelli/Vavassori 1 – 2 Krajicek/Mektic (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bolelli/Vavassori 1–2 Krajicek/Mektic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/26 ATP Tokyo MD | 0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/09/26 US Open MD | 2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 06/07/26 Wimbledon MD | 1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bolelli/Vavassori
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Krajicek/Mektic ATP Tokyo MD · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/10 | Polmans/Zielinski ATP Tokyo MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Mochizuki/Watanabe ATP Tokyo MD · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 10/09 | Harrison/Skupski US Open MD · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Krajicek/Mektic US Open MD · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 07/09 | Gille/Verbeek US Open MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/09 | Halys/Herbert US Open MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/08 | Luz/Matos ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Pavlasek/Rikl ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/08 | Rinderknech/Vacherot ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
Krajicek/Mektic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Arribage/Olivetti ATP Tokyo MD · Hard |
2-1 | 22-19 | W |
| 05/10 | Bolelli/Vavassori ATP Tokyo MD · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/10 | Tabilo/Van Assche ATP Tokyo MD · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/10 | Nouza/Venus ATP Tokyo MD · Hard |
2-1 | 22-20 | W |
| 09/09 | Bolelli/Vavassori US Open MD · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 07/09 | Seggerman/Trhac US Open MD · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 05/09 | Pieczonka/Stevens US Open MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/08 | Nouza/Oberleitner ATP Winston-Salem MD · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Arribage/Guinard ATP Winston-Salem MD · Hard |
2-1 | 20-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Galloway/Goransson ATP Winston-Salem MD · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bolelli/Vavassori vs Krajicek/Mektic?
Our model gives 50% to Bolelli/Vavassori, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.