Tennis · M25 Luan · 08/10, 04:00

Prediction: Yuta Tomida vs Petr Bar Biryukov

Team pages: Yuta Tomida · Petr Bar Biryukov

Prediction summary
Winner
39% 61%
Yuta Tomida Petr Bar Biryukov
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Yuta Tomida 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWWWLWLW
Petr Bar Biryukov 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWLWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yuta Tomida 1583 · Petr Bar Biryukov 1534
Yuta TomidaPetr Bar Biryukov
Our model57%43%
Market23%77%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yuta Tomida (rating 1583 vs 1534).

Statistics

Yuta TomidaPetr Bar Biryukov
Win %80%60%
Win % · Hard 80% (10) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.8-0.41.3-0.9
Games (G-P)12.6-711.7-11.5
Aces210.5
Double faults2.23.6
1st serve %73.4%74.9%
Break %52.5%30.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yuta Tomida

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/10 Zhengyu Sun
M25 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
01/10 Taiyo Yamanaka
M15 Luan · ~Hard
1-2 15-14 L
30/09 Xirui Han
M15 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
11/09 Jaesung Choe
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
1-2 14-14 L
10/09 Chen-Yu Lu
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
09/09 Ryo Minakata
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
06/09 Qian Sun
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
05/09 Geun Jun Kim
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
04/09 Kristjan Tamm
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
03/09 Xing Dao Chen
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W

Petr Bar Biryukov

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/10 Maksim Shin
M25 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
01/10 Dane Sweeny
Challenger Jingshan · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
30/09 Masamichi Imamura
Challenger Jingshan · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
23/09 Alexandre Muller
ATP Chengdu · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
22/09 Andre Ilagan
ATP Chengdu · Hard
2-0 14-12 W
19/09 Marat Sharipov
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
18/09 Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
2-1 18-18 W
17/09 Naoya Honda
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
15/09 Jesse Delaney
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
08/09 Denis Yevseyev
Challenger Shanghai · Hard
1-2 15-19 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yuta Tomida vs Petr Bar Biryukov?

Our model gives 61% to Petr Bar Biryukov, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.