Prediction: Yan Cheng Chen vs Mert Alkaya
Team pages: Yan Cheng Chen · Mert Alkaya
Prediction summary
Winner
Yan Cheng Chen
Mert Alkaya
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Yan Cheng Chen
5-5 (W-L)
Mert Alkaya
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yan Cheng Chen 1519 · Mert Alkaya 1521
| Yan Cheng Chen | Mert Alkaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Yan Cheng Chen | Mert Alkaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-8.1 | 9.5-9.3 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 64% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 50.1% | 50% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yan Cheng Chen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Dong Ju Kim M25 Luan · ~Hard |
1-1 | 6-8 | L |
| 07/10 | Kuan-Shou Chen M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/09 | Digvijay Pratap Singh M15 Bali |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Azuma Visaya M15 Bali |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 09/09 | Haruto Ishikawa M15 Bali |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Isaac Becroft M15 Bali |
0-2 | 2-7 | L |
| 02/09 | Raghav Jaisinghani M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/08 | Kasidit Samrej M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Sanhui Shin M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Yen-Chun Wang M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Mert Alkaya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Ko Suzuki M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/10 | Isaac Becroft M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Francisco Cerundolo Davis Cup |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Thiago Agustin Tirante Davis Cup |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Max Basing Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Tiago Torres Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 14/08 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Beibit Zhukayev Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yan Cheng Chen vs Mert Alkaya?
Our model gives 71% to Mert Alkaya, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.