Tennis · M25 Luan · 08/10, 04:00

Prediction: Taiyo Yamanaka vs Anton Shepp

Team pages: Taiyo Yamanaka · Anton Shepp

Prediction summary
Winner
44% 56%
Taiyo Yamanaka Anton Shepp
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Taiyo Yamanaka 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLWLWWLW
Anton Shepp 1-9 (W-L)
LLLLLWLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Taiyo Yamanaka 1532 · Anton Shepp 1430
Taiyo YamanakaAnton Shepp
Our model64%36%
Market28%72%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Taiyo Yamanaka (rating 1532 vs 1430).
  • Taiyo Yamanaka is in better form: 60% recent wins.

Statistics

Taiyo YamanakaAnton Shepp
Win %60%20%
Win % · Hard 63% (8) 17% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.2-0.90.5-1.7
Games (G-P)9.9-9.28.1-11.5
Aces2.86.1
Double faults1.52.1
1st serve %69%68.5%
Break %32.5%36.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Taiyo Yamanaka

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/10 Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul
M25 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
02/10 Max Purcell
M15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
01/10 Yuta Tomida
M15 Luan · ~Hard
2-1 14-15 W
30/09 Nikolai Barsukov
M15 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
14/09 Ryuki Matsuda
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
13/09 Egor Agafonov
Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
07/09 Timofei Derepasko
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
06/09 Nikita Ianin
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
13/08 Shinji Hazawa
M15 Tianjin
0-2 2-8 L
11/08 Weiyi Kong
M15 Tianjin
2-0 12-5 W

Anton Shepp

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/10 Lingxi Zhao
M25 Luan · ~Hard
2-1 15-10 W
20/09 Sho Shimabukuro
Davis Cup
0-2 6-12 L
19/09 Rei Sakamoto
Davis Cup
0-2 9-13 L
10/09 Nathan Anthony Barki
M15 Bali
0-2 7-12 L
08/09 Hitesh Chauhan
M15 Bali
2-0 12-4 W
31/08 Mathys Erhard
Challenger Manacor · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
24/08 Lui Maxted
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
17/08 Mark Ceban
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
28/07 Evan Zhu
Challenger Vancouver · Hard
1-2 12-15 L
20/07 Daniel Milavsky
Challenger Winnipeg · Hard
0-2 4-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Taiyo Yamanaka vs Anton Shepp?

Our model gives 56% to Anton Shepp, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.