Tennis · ATP Shanghai MD · 10/10, 06:00
Prediction: Luz/Matos vs Cabral/Tracy
Team pages: Luz/Matos · Cabral/Tracy
Prediction summary
Winner
Luz/Matos
Cabral/Tracy
Estimated games
26.3
Recent form · 10 last
Luz/Matos
8-2 (W-L)
Cabral/Tracy
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Luz/Matos
1–0
Cabral/Tracy
(1 last)
- 09 Aug2-1 25-21W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luz/Matos 1593 · Cabral/Tracy 1549
| Luz/Matos | Cabral/Tracy | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luz/Matos (rating 1593 vs 1549).
- Head-to-head: Luz/Matos 1–0 Cabral/Tracy (1).
Statistics
| Luz/Matos | Cabral/Tracy | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 78% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.8-12.9 | 14-11.8 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 80.2% | 77.6% |
| Break % | 40.8% | 40.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.3
H2H · Luz/Matos 1 – 0 Cabral/Tracy (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Luz/Matos 1–0 Cabral/Tracy
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/26 ATP Montreal MD | 2-1 | 25-21 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luz/Matos
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Cash/Erler ATP Beijing MD · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 19/09 | Paul/Stricker Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Brandon Carpico/Filin US Open MD · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 23/08 | Frantzen/Haase ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 22/08 | Nys/Roger-Vasselin ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 21/08 | Bolelli/Vavassori ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/08 | Melo/Zverev ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/08 | Harrison/Skupski ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 13/08 | Arevalo/Pavic ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-1 | 21-17 | W |
| 12/08 | Cerundolo/Etcheverry ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Cabral/Tracy
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Cash/Erler ATP Beijing MD · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 02/10 | Buse/Cobolli ATP Beijing MD · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 29/09 | Arends/Pel ATP Hangzhou MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/09 | Rojer/Winegar ATP Hangzhou MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/09 | Gonzalez/Jebens ATP Hangzhou MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/09 | Sun/Zhang ATP Hangzhou MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/09 | Heliovaara/Patten US Open MD · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Lammons/Withrow US Open MD · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 05/09 | Milavsky/Shick US Open MD · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Krajicek/Mektic ATP Winston-Salem MD · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luz/Matos vs Cabral/Tracy?
Our model gives 55% to Luz/Matos, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.