Tennis · Challenger Palermo · 08/10, 12:00
Prediction: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Lorenzo Giustino
Team pages: Carlos Sanchez Jover · Lorenzo Giustino
Prediction summary
Winner
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Lorenzo Giustino
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Carlos Sanchez Jover
6-4 (W-L)
Lorenzo Giustino
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carlos Sanchez Jover 1534 · Lorenzo Giustino 1560
| Carlos Sanchez Jover | Lorenzo Giustino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Carlos Sanchez Jover | Lorenzo Giustino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10.1 | 12-10.7 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 72% |
| Break % | 36% | 38% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Francesco Forti Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 23/09 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Michael Geerts Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/09 | Filip Pieczonka Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 14-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Pedro Vives Marcos Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 06/09 | Sergi Fita Juan Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/08 | Alexander Ritschard M25 Santander |
2-0 | 10-3 | W |
| 22/08 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 Santander |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/08 | Imanol Lopez Morillo M25 Santander |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Lorenzo Giustino
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Christian Langmo Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | John Sperle Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 25/09 | Gerard Campana Lee M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Matias Ponce de Leon Gomila M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
1-0 | 12-10 | W |
| 23/09 | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Grigor Dimitrov US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 19/08 | Henry Bernet Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 18/08 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Jerome Kym Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Lorenzo Giustino?
Our model gives 52% to Lorenzo Giustino, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.