Tennis · Challenger Palermo · 07/10, 15:00
Prediction: Andrej Martin vs Alejandro Moro Canas
Team pages: Andrej Martin · Alejandro Moro Canas
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrej Martin
Alejandro Moro Canas
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Andrej Martin
5-5 (W-L)
Alejandro Moro Canas
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrej Martin 1503 · Alejandro Moro Canas 1587
| Andrej Martin | Alejandro Moro Canas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alejandro Moro Canas (rating 1503 vs 1587).
Statistics
| Andrej Martin | Alejandro Moro Canas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-9.2 | 11.7-8.5 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.6% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 41.4% | 35.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrej Martin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Jonas Gundacker Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Manuel Plunger M15 Vienna |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/08 | Giovanni Oradini M15 Vienna |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 28/08 | Lorenzo Rottoli M15 Vienna |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Leyton Rivera M15 Vienna |
2-1 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Benedikt Szerencsits M15 Vienna |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Filip Cristian Jianu Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Javier Barranco Cosano Challenger Prague · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Alejandro Moro Canas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Kalin Ivanovski Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/10 | Alexander Ritschard M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Sander Jong M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 02/10 | Pedro Vives Marcos M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/10 | Bruno Pujol Navarro M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-0 | W |
| 30/09 | David Naharro M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/09 | Jay Clarke Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 18/09 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/09 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrej Martin vs Alejandro Moro Canas?
Our model gives 70% to Alejandro Moro Canas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.