Tennis · M15 Monastir · 07/10, 12:00
Prediction: Lucca Liu vs Tuncay Duran
Team pages: Lucca Liu · Tuncay Duran
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucca Liu
Tuncay Duran
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Lucca Liu
7-3 (W-L)
Tuncay Duran
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lucca Liu
0–1
Tuncay Duran
(1 last)
- 29 Sept0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucca Liu 1542 · Tuncay Duran 1579
| Lucca Liu | Tuncay Duran | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Lucca Liu 0–1 Tuncay Duran (1).
Statistics
| Lucca Liu | Tuncay Duran | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-7.7 | 12.1-9.3 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 69.6% | 81.1% |
| Break % | 53.5% | 60.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
H2H · Lucca Liu 0 – 1 Tuncay Duran (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lucca Liu 0–1 Tuncay Duran
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/26 M15 Monastir | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucca Liu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Sebastian Heinrich M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/09 | Tuncay Duran M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Ergi Kirkin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-8 | L |
| 16/09 | Mathieu Scaglia M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Tim Loosen M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/09 | Oscar Brown M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 10/09 | Josh Manuel M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Mahmoud Chetouane M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Tiago Torres M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-9 | L |
| 29/06 | Goncalo Quintela M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Tuncay Duran
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Kris Van Wyk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/10 | Emilien Demanet M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Jack Loge M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Pablo Aunion M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/09 | Lucca Liu M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/09 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Togan Tokac Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/08 | Antoine Ghibaudo Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 27/07 | Digvijay Pratap Singh Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucca Liu vs Tuncay Duran?
Our model gives 64% to Tuncay Duran, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.